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Economic and fiscal context
Government expects the economy to grow by 4.2% in 2016 and 3.5% in 2017. But the budget has not fully appreciated the scale of the Brexit challenge. The recent sterling weakness was a late shock.
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Personal taxation
Overall changes in personal taxation will be fairly minimal with cuts to the various USC rates being paid for by the non-indexation of the income tax system.
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Brexit and business
On the test of being ‘Brexit proofed’ it is clear the budget fell short. Only around €50 million in new or improved measures aimed specifically at offsetting the impact on business were announced.
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Investment and housing
The prioritisation of capital spending is welcome; 30% of all additional spending is in this area. Government spending on capital is currently at an all-time low, only accounting 1.5% of GDP in 2015.
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